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Shortcut to Wealth: 42 Lessons on Index Funds, Taxes & Compounding from a Silicon-Valley Insider

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作者
LonelyTrek

读书笔记:《财富捷径——硅谷居士》

1.成熟的证券市场是什么样子的?目前还是只有美股。

2.为什么股市为王?收益率最高。

3.为什么指数基金是最安全可靠的股市投资产品?精选的最好的美股,都是行业龙头

4.什么是基金定投?不解释。

5.指数们生而不平等。不同基金不同方向,目前看依然还是美股七姐妹。

6.为什么大部分股市投资者在亏钱?要不就是放弃自己的傲慢认识到自己的“平庸”,要不就是长线投资,只在需要用钱的时候才卖出。

7.为什么你如此勤劳却没有什么财富?拳王泰森赚了 3 亿美金却破产。

8.我为什么不买终身寿险?高昂的保费,和糟糕的投资收益。惨不忍睹的低流动性。巨大的风险。

9.百万富翁是怎样炼成的?长期价值投资,前提是要找准方向。

10.复利是第八大奇迹。

11.你需要多少资产才能实现财务自由?每个人的定义不同

12.我为何不愿提前还清房贷?在中国,如果过去20年里你的房贷的利息率是5%,你实际付出的利息率只有 5%-4.8% = 0.2%。不要提前还清房贷,而是要积极投资取得更好的资产流动性和增值速度!

13.指数基金:博时基金公司513500, 国泰公司的 513100。

14.为什么大公司在拼命回购股票?苹果到 25 年十年间,分红占净利润的平均比例约为 17.5%,回购占净利润的平均比例约为 87.2%。流通股数量减少了约33.0%,股价增长了约8.5倍。

15.投资理财的几个基本数学法则 72法则(72 除以年复利率就是翻倍的时间);4%法则,存款可以取出来使用的额度/还能超过通涨。

16.为什么标普500指数可以独步天下?有美国最成功的企业,每年的利润增长率11.7%,每年营收增长率也高达11.4%,回报率 23%。

17.为什么美国政府一直在借钱?全世界几乎所有的政府都在借钱,总债务率: 日本 (约255%) » 美国 (约125%) » 中国 (广义约85%)。 年度赤字率: 美国 (约6.2%) ≈ 日本 (约6.2%) > 中国 (广义约4.5%)

18.如何预测基金的回报率?标普500指数:分红率1.6%, 利润增长率8.5%, 未来收益率*:10.1%。纳斯达克100指数:分红率0.6%,利润增长率12.4%,未来收益率*:13.0%。

19.美国的各党派在财务上的体现:过去90年里,民主党在总统大位上时,股市的平均每年回报率是14%,而共和党总统执政时,股市的平均年化收益率只有9%!最后一位民主党总统是 乔·拜登 (Joe Biden),共和党是川普.

20.为什么美国经济持续健康增长?主要还是高科技,标普指数里高科技占比 44%。

21.普通投资者如何投资房地产?自住最好。

22.美国家庭如何在投资中省税?退休账户,健康储蓄账户,对于普通家庭,房贷差不多是我们能够拿到的利息最低的资本了,所以要充分利用。而房贷利息可以抵消收入,是锦上添花的政府福利,更是不容忽视。

23.人民币资金如何投资美股?博时标普500ETF,代号:513500;嘉实纳斯达克100指数ETF,代号是159501。 在券商那里开户购买这两款交易基金。

24.投资者眼中的历史。为了自己的未来慢慢学习吧。

25.躺平的投资者收益率更高

26.天下无双的纳斯达克指数

27.人民币投资美股基金的总成本 除了管理费和托管费,指数基金还要缴纳0.06%的指数使用费。

28.退休后需要持有多少债券?将模糊的“安享晚年”愿望,转化为一个具体的、可度量的数字。对于99%的人来说,最好的工具就是低成本、广基的指数基金。应急备用金,适当的保险和有哪些税收优惠?

29.美股又创新高,你还在观望吗?反对择时交易(Timing Market)

30.为什么不投加密货币?查理芒格憎恨它。(芒格是笔者的偶像)

31.人寿险买不买?要问你自己如果一个有收入的人去世后,其家人的生活水平因为经济问题会出现问题吗?

32.你买雨伞险了吗?中国大陆,目前没有完全对标美国“雨伞险(Umbrella Insurance)”的、广为人知的标准化保险产品。只能建议车险买到 200 万以上,家庭财产险看你的财产情况。

33.Roth IRA,美国家庭的省税神器。25岁开始,每人每年存7000美元,65 岁可以有 56 万。

34.主要股市排行榜,15 年美国每年 14.7%,日本 7.4%,新加坡 6.5%,东大 7.0%。

35.标普500的分红率为何江河日下?如果你从1984年开始投资,哪怕每月只投资1千美元,到今天就积累了595万美元!

36.最好的指数基金是哪一只?标普500指数基金。它也是投资界的泰山北斗。另外一个就是纳斯达克100指数基金,可以购买159501。在过去20年,如果你每月定投纳斯达克100指数基金,你取得的年化收益率为17.2%。最终建议:普通投资者以标普500指数基金为主;科技为主的话纳斯达克指数基金或者科技板块指数基金里。

37.中国未来的房价将何去何从?核心都市圈:有条件就买一套自住。其他更建议:标普500指数或纳斯达克指数159501。

38.A股的估值偏低,因此就更值得投资吗?看你是否能自由选择。

39.有多少中国家庭在投资美股和美债?截止2024年6月底,外汇管理局累计批准的QDII额度为1670亿美元,换算成人民币为1.2万亿元。6000万个家庭。 2025 年以QDII为代表的1725亿美元

40.中国养老保险金的收益率到底有多低?很低。

41.如何通过理财跨越阶层?加大高收益资产(比如股票基金)的比例。

42.为什么推荐股票基金ETF?灵活、方便、流动性好、门槛低、费用低、没有年限。

  1. What does a mature securities market look like? For now, the U.S. market stands alone.
  2. Why is the stock market king? Historically, it offers the highest returns.
  3. Why are index funds the safest, most reliable stock investment? Rule‑based baskets of top U.S. industry leaders.
  4. What is dollar‑cost averaging in funds? No explanation.
  5. Indexes are born unequal. Different funds, different tilts—the “Magnificent Seven” still set the pace.
  6. Why do most stock investors lose money? They won’t shed their arrogance and accept their “averageness”; or they fail to stay invested long‑term, selling only when sudden cash needs hit.
  7. Why can the hardworking have little wealth? Mike Tyson earned $300 million—and still went bankrupt.
  8. Why don’t I buy whole life insurance? Steep premiums, weak returns, poor liquidity—real risks.
  9. How are millionaires forged? Long‑term value investing—provided you choose the right lane.
  10. Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world.
  11. How much do you need for financial freedom? It’s personal; definitions differ.
  12. Why not repay my mortgage early? In China, if your rate was 5% over the past 20 years, your real burden was ~5% − 4.8% = 0.2%. Don’t prepay; invest for better liquidity and growth.
  13. Index funds: Bosera S&P 500 (513500); China Universal/Guotai Nasdaq 100 (513100).
  14. Why do giants binge on buybacks? From 2015–2025, Apple paid dividends averaging ~17.5% of net income and buybacks ~87.2%; shares outstanding fell ~33%, the stock rose ~8.5x.
  15. Basic math rules for investing: Rule of 72 (72 ÷ annual compound rate ≈ years to double); the 4% rule (a sustainable real withdrawal rate).
  16. Why can the S&P 500 dominate? It holds America’s winners: profit growth ~11.7%/yr, revenue growth ~11.4%/yr, total returns ~23%.
  17. Why does the U.S. government keep borrowing? Most governments do. Debt/GDP: Japan (~255%) » U.S. (~125%) » China (broad ~85%). Deficit/GDP: U.S. (~6.2%) ≈ Japan (~6.2%) > China (broad ~4.5%).
  18. How to gauge expected fund returns? S&P 500: 1.6% dividend + 8.5% earnings growth ≈ 10.1%. Nasdaq 100: 0.6% dividend + 12.4% earnings growth ≈ 13.0%.
  19. Parties and markets: Over 90 years, average annual returns were ~14% under Democratic presidents vs. ~9% under Republicans. The latest Democrat is Joe Biden; the last Republican, Donald Trump.
  20. Why does the U.S. economy keep growing? Above all, technology—IT is ~44% of the S&P.
  21. How should ordinary investors approach real estate? Prioritize your own residence.
  22. How do U.S. families save on taxes through investing? Use retirement accounts and HSAs; mortgages are typically the cheapest capital—use them well. Mortgage interest can offset income—a perk worth claiming.
  23. How can RMB funds access U.S. stocks? Via ETFs: Bosera S&P 500 (513500) and Harvest Nasdaq 100 (159501). Open a brokerage account and buy these listed funds.
  24. History through an investor’s eyes: Learn slowly—for your future.
  25. The hands‑off investor often earns more.
  26. The one‑and‑only Nasdaq.
  27. Total cost for RMB investors in U.S. stock ETFs: besides management and custody fees, index funds also pay a 0.06% index‑licensing fee.
  28. How many bonds after retirement? Turn “a comfortable old age” into a number you can measure. For 99% of people: low‑cost, broad index funds at the core—plus an emergency fund, appropriate insurance, and available tax breaks.
  29. U.S. stocks hit new highs—still watching? Don’t time the market; time in the market wins.
  30. Why not invest in crypto? Charlie Munger despises it. (He’s my idol.)
  31. Life insurance—buy or not? Ask: if an earner dies, would the family’s standard of living suffer financially?
  32. Do you carry umbrella insurance? Mainland China lacks a widely used equivalent; as a proxy, carry auto liability above RMB 2 million and add property coverage sized to your assets.
  33. Roth IRA—the tax‑saving workhorse for U.S. households. Start at 25, add $7,000 a year, and by 65 you could have about $560,000.
  34. Major market league table (15‑year annualized): U.S. 14.7%; Japan 7.4%; Singapore 6.5%; Japan TOPIX Large Cap (“Tōshō Large”) 7.0%.
  35. Why is the S&P 500’s dividend yield ebbing? Even $1,000 a month since 1984 would be about $5.95 million today.
  36. Which index fund is best? The S&P 500—the North Star. Also consider the Nasdaq 100 (159501). Over 20 years, monthly contributions to the Nasdaq 100 returned ~17.2% annualized. Bottom line: anchor in the S&P 500; for a tech tilt, add the Nasdaq 100 or a tech‑sector ETF.
  37. Where are China’s home prices headed? In core metros, buy a home to live in if you can. Otherwise, consider the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq 100 (159501).
  38. Are low A‑share valuations reason enough to buy? Only if you’re free to choose.
  39. How many Chinese households invest in U.S. stocks and bonds? By June 2024, SAFE had approved QDII quotas totaling $167B (≈ RMB 1.2T), covering roughly 60 million households. In 2025, the figure cited is $172.5B for QDII and similar channels.
  40. How low are China’s pension returns? Very low.
  41. How to climb the ladder through investing? Raise the share of higher‑yielding assets—such as stock funds.
  42. Why recommend stock ETFs? Flexible, convenient, liquid, low barrier, low cost, no lockup.